Domain 11
Platforms and AI
Network effects produce winner-take-most; competitive dynamics produce a race where unilateral restraint is unrewarded.
The safety race is a genuine prisoner's dilemma in structure, which matters because it tells you what does and does not work: appeals to responsibility fail predictably, and the effective interventions are those that change payoffs for everybody at once — binding standards, liability, verification. Note what verification does here, which is convert an unenforceable agreement into a commitment. Meanwhile the platform layer is a network-effects lock-in, which is a stag hunt at scale, so interoperability and portability are the levers rather than competition on quality.

Everyone affected by the systems who is neither a user nor a builder — the people classified, ranked, moderated or displaced by them. Also the future entrants who will face the tipped market and never appear in an analysis of current competition.
What to look for
- Would a firm that slowed down alone simply lose? Then it is a dilemma, not a values gap.
- Is the commitment verifiable, or is it a press release?
- Can users take their things with them? That is the lock-in question.
- Who is affected by this and is neither buying nor building it?
The shapes that run this field
Network Effects and Tipping
A good whose value to each user rises with the number of users, producing self-reinforcing adoption and lock-in.
Shape 01The Prisoner's Dilemma
Mutual cooperation beats mutual defection, but defecting is the better move whatever the other side does.
Shape 16Escalation
A sequence in which each response justifies the next, and no step is individually unreasonable.
Shape 06The Commons
A rival but non-excludable resource: each user's extraction imposes a cost spread across all users.
Shape 04Pure Coordination
Multiple equilibria, no conflict of interest — the whole problem is agreeing which one.
In practice
Network Effects and Tipping
A messaging network everyone dislikes and nobody can leave alone.
The Prisoner's Dilemma
Safety expenditure that no single participant can afford to make alone.
Escalation
Capability announcements that each justify the next, with no ceiling anywhere.